Juan Díaz
Ph.D. in Statistics, Harvard University
Ph.D. en Economía, Universidad de Chile
M.Sc. in Statistics, Harvard University
Magíster en Economía, Universidad de Chile
Ingeniero comercial, Universidad de Chile
Actualmente, es profesor y co-coordinador de los cursos de Estadística, profesor y coordinador del curso Métodos Cuantitativos I de las carreras del DCS de la Facultad de Economía y Negocios de la U. de Chile.
Ha participado en proyectos y actividades profesionales como especialista en modelos econométricos de pronóstico y evaluaciones de impacto. Algunos de estos proyectos incluyen el pronóstico de la demanda de servicios sanitarios; la predicción de precios de insumos de empresas sanitarias; la evaluación de impacto de los programas SENCE incluyendo el Subsidio al Empleo Joven y el Bono al Trabajo de la Mujer; pronóstico de llegada de turistas internacionales e ingreso de divisas por este concepto; estimación de demanda de turismo interno y gasto por este concepto; estimación de siniestralidad en una empresa minera; predicción de fallas eléctricas; e integrante del panel de expertos para la evaluación de las transferencias monetarias de libre disposición y alcance nacional que implementa el Estado de Chile.
Econometría, Inferencia Causal, Estadística, Machine Learning
Publicaciones en Revistas con Comité Editorial
- 2026 / Real Estate Returns and the Macroeconomy: Insights from Big Data in the US, Canada, and the UK / JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
- 2025 / Price effects of asset forced sales during massive pension funds withdrawals? / International Review of Financial Analysis / - No. 103869
- 2025 / Forecasting the Volatility of US Oil and Gas Firms With Machine Learning / JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
- 2024 / The two-sample two-stage least squares method to estimate the intergenerational earnings elasticity / Journal of Economic Inequality
- 2024 / Stock returns and tax progressivity / Finance Research Letters / - No. 106175
- 2024 / Citizens’ Stability of Electoral Preferences in Chile Since the Social Upheaval / Journal of Politics in Latin America / - No. 1
- 2024 / Intergenerational earnings mobility in Chile: the tale of the upper tail / Empirical Economics
- 2024 / On the robustness of the relationship between tax progressivity, growth, and inequality in the US / ECONOMICS LETTERS / - No. 111807
- 2024 / Machine-learning stock market volatility: Predictability, drivers, and economic value / International Review of Financial Analysis / - No. 103286
- 2024 / Effects of between-class ability grouping on secondary students’ academic achievement: quasi-experimental evidence from Chile / SCHOOL EFFECTIVENESS AND SCHOOL IMPROVEMENT / - No. 2
- 2024 / Everything’s not lost: revisiting TSTSLS estimates of intergenerational mobility in developing countries / INTERNATIONAL TAX AND PUBLIC FINANCE
- 2023 / Explaining the volatility of the real exchange rate in emerging markets / International Review of Economics & Finance
- 2023 / Complex discontinuity designs using covariates: Impact of school grade retention on later life outcomes in Chile / Annals of Applied Statistics / - No. 1
- 2023 / Intergenerational earnings persistence and the provision of public goods: evidence from chile’s constitutional process / Journal of Economic Inequality / - No. 1
- 2023 / Decentralizing the Chilean miracle: regional intergenerational mobility in a developing country / Regional Studies / - No. 5
- 2023 / Gold risk premium estimation with machine learning methods / Journal of Commodity Markets
- 2021 / The importance of large shocks to return predictability / Pacific-Basin Finance Journal
- 2021 / The impact of grade retention on juvenile crime / ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION REVIEW
- 2021 / Economic drivers of commodity volatility: The case of copper / RESOURCES POLICY
- 2021 / Implementing blopmatching in Stata / Stata Journal / - No. 1
- 2021 / The exponential Pareto model with hidden income processes: Evidence from Chile / Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
- 2020 / A random walk through the trees: Forecasting copper prices using decision learning methods / RESOURCES POLICY / - No. 101859
- 2019 / Sudden stops of capital flows: Do foreign assets behave differently from foreign liabilities? / JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE
- 2019 / Inequality in social capital in Chile: Assessing the importance of network size and contacts’ occupational prestige on status attainment / SOCIAL NETWORKS
- 2015 / A matching estimator based on a bilevel optimization problem / REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS / - No. 4
Capítulos de libros
Research Monographs
- 2022 / Intergenerational Earnings Mobility in Chile: The Tale of the Upper Tail
- 2022 / How Much Should We Trust TSTSLS Intergenerational Mobility Estimates?: Evidence From A Developing Country
- 2021 / The Impact of Grade Retention on Juvenile Crime / - No. 513
- 2020 / Explaining the Volatility of the Real Exchange Rate in Emerging Markets / - No. 507
- 2017 / Sudden stops of capital flows: the role of outflows as a mechanism to offset sudden stops of inflows / - No. 436
- 2016 / The impact of grade retention on juvenile crime / - No. 429
- 2012 / A Matching Estimator Based on a Bi-Level Optimization Problem
- 2012 / Sovereign Credit Risk in Latin America and Global Common Factors
Academic/Professional meeting Presentations
- 2022 / Forecasting the volatility of U.S. oil and gas firms: beyond linearity and volatility factors
- 2022 / Forecasting the Volatility of U.S. Oil and Gas Firms: Beyond Linearity and Volatility Factors
- 2017 / Sudden Stops of Capital Flows: Do Foreign Assets Behave Differently from Foreign Liabilities?
Competitive Research Awards Received